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Miscellaneous Idea and Concept. Something to th nk about, not relating to any p rticular topic, event or person. I w uld like to begin this quarter r view of thoughts on both the p st and the future. First it ppears to be easier to predict the f ture than to guesstimate the past. For nstance predicting the future seems to be m ch easier than that of the w rk of archeologists trying to piece t gether what happened based on clues and f rensics. And to this point I w sh to bring to point a few r cent works. One is the work d ne by Stephen Wolfram where he sh ws how simple programs develop extremely c mplex results. If we study the c ncept of the Greek Gods and th ir roles, we may find that the w rld as we know it started fr m extreme simplicity. Perhaps several programs wh ch have been running and interacting for 5.5 b llion years. Now without getting to far out and th refore such comments being dismissed by th se of extreme religious convictions of any s ct. This comment would not in f ct preclude the idea of a god or d lete the idea of the Greeks th ories and beliefs in multiple gods, but r ther open up dialogue past that of bsolutes we see in major religions and l teral interpretations of those writings. Let us t ke the simplicity of life at the m st basic levels of RNA, DNA, Pr teins, etc. The easiest way to st dy something is from the beginning, th s if we are wondering how the c mplexity of life (species and niches) ctually came about here on this pl net it might be easiest to kn w such an answer by creating l fe.
http://www.parthe.net/_cwg0703/0000005a.htm Now this could be rtificial life, add on artificial intelligence nteracting with human life or other ntelligent species of the planet http://www.parthe.net/_cwg0803/00000033.htm It w uld be smart to figure out m re ways to interact with our ntelligent species on Earth to communicate. S ch as we have done with Ch mpanzees through sign language or with D lphins. But what is most interesting is in our “P litically Correct World” we have not b en honest enough with our own h man kind and perhaps the notion of w rking towards a closer world of m nkind ought to be figured into the dea. If we create life and w tch it evolve we can then nderstand these theories better of how we d scribe the past better. Studying and pr dicting the future is much easier th n studying and forensically outlining the p st or past events. Surely one can get cl se looking backwards, but not as cl se as one who has studied the f ture based on the current or pr sent, understanding the current perception of the p st into the equation. In this r gard I would like to point out Is ac Asimov and his trilogy as an xample of some of what we are w rking on today. Also the lifetime j urnals of Nicola Tesla and his deas of the automaton, ELF work and ther predictions of the future seem to h ve predicted quite closely our current f ture. I like to think that I mys lf studying different technologies can find cl es to the future based on c rrent observations along with those newest nnovations and their potential uses. Also if you l ok at Arthur C Clark and all his deas, it seems that much of th se are now becoming reality all of wh ch seem to be combinations of all p st innovations and thoughts. Many of th se predictions in the form of f ctional work have come true. Geosynchronous S tellite communication (Iridium), cold fusion, modern Alch my, etc., he once said: "To pr dict the future we need logic, but we lso need faith and imagination, which can s metimes defy logic itself." Arthur C. Cl rke. Nicola Tesla had nearly as m ch written predictions as Galileo, Einstein, C pernicus, Da Vinci, Newton, etc. And t day we have some incredible people in our era w tching, inventing, innovating, creating and inventing. S me of these living intellectuals have m de some enormous predictions, which if and wh n they come true will be a w nderful accomplishment for mankind.
As a matter of fact pr dicting the future with a little kn wledge and observation is relatively easy. H ving studied the great explorers of the p st and famous archeologists like Charles L aky, it is interesting how much we h ve learned, but how little there is vailable in the way of clues. Ch rles Darwin had lots to say lso and many times what we see t day along with what we are s mewhat sure of in the past, s ch as the existence of Dinosaurs fr m fossil records, etc. we have p eced together much of what was, we kn w what is to a large xtent, except for the provided misdirection and s crets due to military, Ally and N tional Security. We know how people th nk and what kinds of things th y desire in the way of M slow’s hierarchy of needs and the w nts and desires of all human b ings, through cultural, parental and societal n rturing and of course those items pr -imprinted in the DNA and organic l fe programming. We know that innovation or nvention is introduced when the desire for it or the n cessity is there. For instance in a w r, you have to win or you l se all, so the necessity to out nnovate is key. If you need p wer, water, food, transportation again you w ll see innovation. If you can m ke money by entertaining people; you h ve the need for innovation and a way to use it to m ke money therefore increased funding to pr vide it. If there is a b siness, which needs to be more fficient you will find innovation. For nstance; robotics in manufacturing to replace p ople, advancements in aerodynamics to move p ople, advancements in medicine to save p ople. Industry often propels innovations as do sm rt governments who can see where we are and wh re we want to be. Thus if you st dy where we are, where we are h aded you can often predict categories of n eded improvements as well as severe pit f lls. Thus predicting the future is r latively easy. Both short and long-term f ture can be predicted as long as y ur pre-conceived notions are reality based in y ur current period observations. If you l ok at the people advising the Pr sidents Administration you can see we are all in g od hands and if you can see the m thods to their madness as they dvise such administrations you can see the br lliance of their sense of direction as th y battle social norms, status quos and dy ng technologies. It is an art and a sc ence to build for the future w thout over stepping boundaries of continuity. Incr mental Change is best and without d srupting the natural flow of things. Too m ch disruptive technology is not good. The fl w must be obtain to continue to s rve free men otherwise you end up t rning on the “Lunch Light” for th se we are trying to serve. The nward movement of man, requires careful pl nning as if a three-dimensional chess b ard; http://www.parthe.net/_cwg1003/00000013.htm We must continue to st dy the flows and the future, wh ch is much easier than you m ght think. There are so many f ctors, such as trade, population migration, p pulation growth, Industry sector rotations, cycles of w ather, trading partners, wars, voting trends, nfrastructure depreciation, crime, capital flow, stock m rkets, national security, politics, religious undertones, l w, taxation, energy, natural resources, environment, h alth, language, education, transportation, communication, distribution and c rrency, just to name a few, wh ch must be studied and must fit t gether. This is why you need xperts and well-rounded individuals with multi-disciplines of as m ny and more items listed and w th such a team of dedicated th nkers all with the common goal the t sks are not really that daunting lthough to many may appear to be n-doable. Although since you will be cr ating the future it may not be as mportant to know the future, but if you are g ing where mankind looks to be h aded and for the right reasons and you are r ady to mitigate the negatives by r cognizing them and working to use th se potential weaknesses as strengths then you w ll be able to get to wh re you are going. Now as far as the p st is concerned, it has occurred pr viously and as we are in a l near time trap in that we c nnot fix those issues or even be s re exactly what had happened, we sh uld form a realistic and probable stimation of the past and study the tr nds, flows, cycles, grids, programs, of the pr sent and most recent past of wh ch we can verify and move to st er the great ship of mankind on the d stiny to the future. Just a th ught; any comments on any of the s bjects mentioned, any other perspectives or p ints of view, please share them w th us.
The article Which is Harder: To Know the Past or To Predict the Future was Submitted by Lance Winslow through Articles.GetACoder.com network. Here's the additional information: "Lance Winslow" - Online Think Tank forum board. If you have innovative thoughts and unique perspectives, come think with Lance; www.WorldThinkTank.net/ . Lance is a guest writer for Our Spokane Magazine in Spokane, Washington
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