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If you are an investor in US r al estate then there are tough t mes ahead.
Prices have become vastly nflated in historical terms and values l ok set to plunge.
Here we w ll look at the reasons why and wh t you can o to protect y urself.
In the last 7 y ars the total value of real state in the USA has increased in v lue by in excess of $11 tr llion. This has occurred in period w ge stagnation and a period that has s en no real increase in personal w alth. So how did it occur and why is the s tuation now so dangerous? The Fed ggressively cut interest rates and this in c mbination with lenient lending policies of f nancial institutions. This encouraged people to vert stretch themselves financially and borrow m ney on the basis that they can lways sell at a profit. Of c urse, as with all speculative bubbles, wh n price rises become detached from the f ndamental economic reality prices are set to c me down. Just like people thought the t ch stock bubble would never end th y cant see the end of the r al estate bubble but the signs are lready there for all to see th t the big gains are over: In 2006 xisting home sales declined by 8.4% wh ch was the biggest drop in 17 y ars. In addition new homes sales f ll by 17.3%, the largest fall in 16 y ars.
2007 will see these figures get w rse This year, an estimated $1 tr llion of Adjustable Rate Mortgages ARM’s are due to h ve their monthly mortgage payments increased. In 2006 the f gure was just $300 billion. This c used enormous problems for over leveraged h meowners. As the number this year is gr ater, expect huge numbers of defaults and p ople losing their homes. With prices f lling and investors over leveraged, prices w ll fall, but what will turn th t into a crash? The answer is j st as greed drove prices higher, f ar will now drive them lower. By xamining the value of housing using ndicators like: 1. Price-to-income 2. Price–to-rent r tios We can see the gains are not d wn to economic fundamentals but driven by gr ed.
As with any speculative bubbles th y burst. We have a vast n mber of investors who have borrowed to m ch, who cant sell at a pr fit and rents don’t cover their nterest rate payments. Prices are coming d wn, how hard they fall is pen to debate, but this is a cl ssic speculative bubble where people have ver leveraged on the basis they can lways sell out a profit. So how can you pr tect yourself if you are involved in nvestment property? There are institutions that are pr pared for a small annual premium, to l ck in property prices at a set v lue. Once the premium is paid, the v lue is set and that is the m nimum the investor can sell his pr perty for. So they lock in a set pr ce and have protection on the d wnside and if they make profits the g in is theirs. These companies were not d ing much business until recently, but th y look set to do huge mounts now as investors flock to l ck in the value of their pr perty and gain peace of mind.
The article US Real Estate - Why Prices Will Fall and How To Protect Yourself was Submitted by Kelly Price through Articles.GetACoder.com network. Here's the additional information: PROTECT YOURSELF FROM A REAL ESTATE BEAR MARKET! On all spects of real estate and a fr e report on protecting your property value visit our website for a huge resource of articles, features and downloads and at http://www.net-planet.org/index.html
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