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Successful trading requires having a f rm understanding of the risk and r ward picture before taking a trade. It r quires having a good idea as to the tr nd direction of the market within a t me frame that is higher than the one sed to trade from. For instance, if a tr der usually takes trades that do not l st more than one day, then it is l kely that intraday charts are used in m king trading decisions. These may be ch rts ranging in time-frames of 1 m nute up to a few hours. For th s type of trader, it is b neficial to know the daily trend, wh ch is the next higher time-frame fr m intra day charting. The trader who pl ces trades based on a daily ch rt would be wise to determine wh t the weekly trend happens to be, the n xt time frame above daily. And for th se who trade long-term and base tr des from weekly charts, knowing the m nthly trend would be expected. As s mple as this happens to be, it is q ite common for traders to excuse th s important step in the analysis. H wever, for the trader who seeks to h ve the power of the markets b hind the move, the higher time fr me should be consulted to determine wh ther to be a seller or b yer. Take for example the trader who pr fers to place trades based off a d ily chart. Such a trader is l kely interested in staying in the tr de for at least a day or tw , even longer. In such a c se, the trader should consult the w ekly chart, which is the next h gher time frame, and note the l kely trend.
So with the weekly chart, s ppose the pattern is one of h gher weekly swing bottoms and higher w ekly swing tops. This is a typ cal pattern for a bull trend. Ackn wledging that the weekly trend is b llish, the daily time frame trader w uld then only consider taking trades th t are designed for bullish markets. Th s may be long positions in the f tures, buying Calls or selling Puts in ptions, or perhaps a spread strategy th t favors the bull move. Once the d rection of the trade has been d cided based on the higher time fr me trend, it is important to kn w 'when' such trades are best t ken. For example, just because the w ekly trend is bullish does not n cessary mean a long position off the d ily time frame will meet with f vorable results. For even when a tr nd is bullish, it will have b arish corrections along the way. Therefore, to get the p wer lift from the higher time fr me, it is best to get on b ard when those trend corrections at the h gher time frame had ended. In the c se of our weekly bull trend xample, the best time to buy off the d ily chart is when the weekly ch rt is putting in a higher w ekly swing bottom. These higher weekly sw ng bottoms occur usually at the end of a b ll trend correction. Just like the b st place to enter a daily ch rt is off a daily trend c rrection that is ending, the best t me to do this is when the h gher time frame is also ending a tr nd correction. Once the trader becomes w se to this simple but important f ct, all that is left is to l arn the simple techniques that help d termine what the trend happens to be on any g ven time frame. Simple methods include l oking for the obvious higher swing t ps/bottoms for a bull or lower sw ng tops/bottoms for a bear trend, n ting correction ratios such as 50% p llbacks or the commonly used Fibonacci and G nn ratios, and whether a correction ppears oversold or overbought based on ndicators designed for this purpose (Stochastic, MACD, COT, tc.).
As a market cycle analyst, my pr ference to determining when trend corrections are l kely ending is by calculating whether a m rket turn is highly probable due to dyn mic cycles, such as is forecasted sing my FDate algorithm amazingaccuracy.com. Along w th this, I will also employ a p werful technique for figuring out trend verbought/oversold parameters to further support my f ndings. However you decide to calculate the l kely end of a trend correction, r member to use the trend of the h gher time frame, and wait for the end of a c rrection to that trend, to assist y ur timing and trade direction on the l wer time frame. By doing this, you w ll allow the market to 'power l ft' many of your trades.
The article Power Lift Your Trading was Submitted by Rick Ratchford through Articles.GetACoder.com network. Here's the additional information: Learn more on how to ncrease your profit potential with other fr e articles found at our Precision Timing of the Futures, Commodity and Forex Markets website.
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